Susan Cain – Quiet (2012)

by vyh

A well-known study out of UC Berkeley by organizational behavior professor Philip Tetlock found that television pundits–that is, people who earn their livings by holding forth confidently on the basis of limited information–make worse predictions about political and economic trends than they would by random chance. And the very worst prognosticators tend to be the most famous and the most confident–the very ones who would be considered natural leaders in an HBS classroom.